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Friday, June 21, 2024
HomeBaseball2024 ZiPS Projections: Toronto Blue Jays

2024 ZiPS Projections: Toronto Blue Jays


For the twentieth consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For extra data on the ZiPS projections, please seek the advice of this yr’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The workforce order is chosen by lot, and the following workforce up is the Toronto Blue Jays.

Batters

Not one of the projections right here will blow your socks off, however on the plus facet, only a few of them will get your socks moist (and you then’re strolling round all day together with your toes moist and clammy, and each time you step it makes a bit squishing sound, and also you suppose there’s a little bit of grime in there and also you’d wish to take off your footwear, however that’s why you’re not allowed in Kroger anymore, so you possibly can’t). If social media is any indication, Matt Chapman may be underrated at this level. He was horrible within the second half, however I haven’t discovered that to be very predictive, and total, he nonetheless gave the Blue Jays about 4 wins that they now have to switch. Proper now, third base, together with left subject and designated hitter, seems to be to be an amalgamation of position gamers, although I don’t anticipate that state of affairs to persist by means of Opening Day, if for no different cause than energetic rosters aren’t massive sufficient for Toronto to begin the season with all three of these unwieldy chimeras.

Bo Bichette is terrific and the Jays ought to increase him quickly, lest he take $300 million to go some other place in just a few years. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to be a little bit of an enigma. Certainly, he has turned out to be one of many more durable gamers to challenge, which I wouldn’t have anticipated when he was a prospect. His upside continues to be there, however you possibly can’t get round the truth that he’s had one superior season, one strong season, and an entire lot of meh. ZiPS nonetheless thinks he’ll be strong, however virtually nothing between a one- and six-win season would shock me at this level. The ability numbers do recommend he ought to have hit for extra thump in 2023 than he truly did.

Daulton Varsho’s positive, although most likely not adequate to silence the second-guessing concerning the Gabriel Moreno commerce. George Springer confirmed some important indicators of decline in 2023, a pattern that’s more likely to proceed as he turned 34 late within the season. ZiPS is optimistic about Davis Schneider being positive at second base, although the pc isn’t precisely banking on one other 1.000 OPS (and neither must you).

Pitchers

With a pair apparent locations to enhance the offense, I’d not be shocked to see the Blue Jays take a low-key method with regards to the rotation, and even stand pat. Hyun Jin Ryu is a free agent, however the Jays solely had him for a part of the season anyway, and the 4 wholesome returning starters — Chris Bassitt, Kevin Gausman, José Berríos, and Yusei Kikuchi — all have relatively unsurprising projections. They might nonetheless commerce him this offseason, but it surely’s most likely too early to write down off Alek Manoah. 2023 was an unforgettable season for the right-hander, within the sense that it might hang-out your goals it doesn’t matter what historic curse or potion you conjured to attempt to neglect it, however the reality stays that he was actually good in 2022, even if you alter for a number of the smoke and mirrors round his 2.24 ERA that yr. Reliable pitchers are at all times onerous to search out and costly to maintain, and just about any pitcher who is barely a yr faraway from relevance ought to have lots of workforce curiosity so long as their arm is bodily hooked up.

Exterior of Jordan Romano, I’m unsure I’d name a lot of the bullpen thrilling, however it’s comparatively deep — ZiPS goes seven or eight relievers till it will get to the below-average guys. Jays relievers had been ninth in WAR in 2023 and sixth in FIP, however you hardly ever noticed anybody speak concerning the solidity of the unit. Now, I suppose a few of that’s to be anticipated — from my unscientific survey, about 95% of followers suppose the first cause their favourite workforce isn’t performing higher is as a result of the bullpen is the worst one ever put collectively. However in any case, Toronto’s is a relatively secure group that doesn’t want an entire lot of tinkering this winter. Save that money for Shohei Ohtani! Oh, wait, I’m an Orioles fan, so I’d want if the Jays didn’t try this. When you’re in search of a ZiPS Particular within the reliever class, Connor Cooke, a fastball-slider reliever with a changeup-in-progress who struggled a bit in his transient Triple-A run however dominated in Double-A, stands out as the decide for you.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by the use of these listed right here. The font dimension of the participant names is roughly proportional to their projected depth chart taking part in time.

Batters – Normal

Participant B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Bo Bichette R 26 SS 657 614 90 179 34 2 24 93 37 127 11 4
Matt Chapman R 31 3B 579 501 75 120 28 2 25 71 66 164 3 2
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. R 25 1B 659 583 89 162 30 1 31 100 66 97 5 2
Alejandro Kirk R 25 C 449 395 43 104 19 0 12 50 46 49 0 1
Davis Schneider R 25 2B 502 430 62 99 25 2 19 68 61 134 6 2
George Springer R 34 RF 567 507 77 129 23 2 21 72 51 107 12 3
Danny Jansen R 29 C 297 262 40 64 15 0 15 47 27 59 0 1
Daulton Varsho L 27 LF 541 490 72 118 24 3 25 77 42 124 13 5
Kevin Kiermaier L 34 CF 359 326 46 80 17 4 6 39 27 83 10 2
Spencer Horwitz L 26 1B 507 443 56 113 28 1 9 58 55 93 4 2
Brandon Belt L 36 1B 366 312 46 74 16 1 17 46 48 116 1 0
Ernie Clement R 28 SS 361 333 42 90 18 2 6 40 19 34 5 2
Mason McCoy R 29 SS 472 429 53 90 20 4 10 51 36 150 13 2
Santiago Espinal R 29 2B 357 325 40 87 19 0 4 35 27 52 4 3
Rafael Lantigua R 26 LF 528 467 68 113 30 1 8 55 53 116 14 7
Cavan Biggio L 29 2B 368 315 51 71 16 1 9 37 46 96 5 1
Alan Roden L 24 LF 516 451 70 114 23 1 6 61 46 76 12 3
Nathan Lukes L 29 RF 355 325 42 86 21 1 5 41 24 60 4 2
Addison Barger L 24 RF 480 434 57 104 25 1 14 60 39 120 4 3
Leo Jimenez R 23 SS 384 336 50 79 15 2 5 46 29 78 4 2
Whit Merrifield R 35 2B 556 512 66 129 26 1 10 64 34 92 21 6
Damiano Palmegiani R 24 3B 536 475 58 101 26 1 17 70 46 163 3 1
Orelvis Martinez R 22 SS 550 494 57 109 24 1 23 72 44 156 2 1
Tanner Morris L 26 2B 420 368 42 87 15 1 5 39 45 92 1 1
Cam Eden R 26 CF 422 378 49 81 16 1 5 45 29 127 29 3
Otto Lopez R 25 SS 434 398 53 100 17 4 3 41 27 79 11 4
Devonte Brown R 24 CF 405 355 47 72 15 1 12 47 43 140 10 1
Jamie Ritchie R 31 C 261 228 33 54 9 1 1 23 29 52 1 1
Tyler Heineman B 33 C 209 182 20 40 7 1 1 16 19 43 3 1
Michael Turconi L 25 2B 424 370 53 82 17 3 7 42 46 106 3 1
Luis De Los Santos R 26 3B 400 367 40 79 19 1 7 41 24 106 3 2
Rob Brantly L 34 C 229 203 22 50 10 1 2 26 15 36 0 1
Cade Doughty R 23 3B 414 378 48 80 15 0 13 55 24 145 2 2
Josh Kasevich R 23 SS 372 339 39 85 15 0 2 33 25 48 5 2
Phil Clarke L 26 C 308 272 35 63 12 0 4 31 26 55 2 1
Zac Prepare dinner L 26 CF 300 261 37 48 12 1 8 42 16 127 8 2
Riley Tirotta R 25 3B 353 314 35 64 13 3 7 35 32 122 6 4
Steward Berroa B 25 CF 420 368 54 76 16 4 6 38 39 129 26 7
Stevie Berman R 29 C 190 164 14 34 8 0 3 17 20 48 0 1
Max McDowell R 30 C 265 229 23 44 8 0 2 26 23 76 1 1
Zach Britton L 25 DH 271 232 31 47 13 1 5 30 32 89 3 1
LJ Talley L 27 1B 341 308 33 69 12 2 6 32 29 78 4 1
Bryce Arnold R 22 2B 155 138 17 30 8 0 2 13 15 38 2 1
Peyton Williams L 23 1B 332 301 32 67 11 1 9 40 23 96 1 1
Garrett Spain L 23 RF 361 331 34 66 16 2 7 37 25 119 3 3
Jeffrey Wehler R 25 3B 208 187 21 38 7 3 4 24 19 68 6 5
Dylan Rock R 25 LF 148 134 19 25 5 0 4 16 11 54 3 1
Alex De Jesus R 22 3B 422 378 52 79 16 4 10 45 37 142 3 2
Karl Ellison R 29 C 128 120 6 19 6 1 1 8 8 51 0 1
PK Morris L 25 1B 329 289 30 54 13 1 6 30 34 117 1 1
Trevor Schwecke R 26 RF 360 326 38 71 15 2 6 39 27 102 5 3
Gabriel Martinez R 21 LF 454 426 53 102 18 1 10 49 23 91 1 1
Miguel Hiraldo R 23 2B 412 383 40 81 19 2 8 43 22 138 11 4
Andres Sosa R 26 C 263 225 26 47 15 0 2 29 22 68 2 1
Dasan Brown R 22 CF 461 416 55 87 15 2 6 46 29 143 14 8
Blake Robertson L 23 1B 359 325 39 68 12 1 6 37 29 116 1 1
Kekai Rios R 27 C 210 193 16 37 7 0 3 18 13 70 0 1
Rainer Nunez R 23 1B 484 455 47 104 18 1 11 52 24 135 0 1
Sebastian Espino R 24 RF 303 283 27 52 13 2 6 29 14 138 2 2

Batters – Superior

Participant PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Bo Bichette 657 .292 .333 .471 122 .179 .335 -3 3.9 .345 120
Matt Chapman 579 .240 .333 .453 117 .214 .304 8 3.6 .339 83
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 659 .278 .357 .492 134 .214 .288 -3 3.0 .362 113
Alejandro Kirk 449 .263 .345 .403 109 .139 .275 6 2.9 .328 55
Davis Schneider 502 .230 .333 .430 111 .200 .289 6 2.9 .332 74
George Springer 567 .254 .328 .432 110 .178 .285 9 2.5 .329 97
Danny Jansen 297 .244 .327 .473 120 .229 .261 1 2.0 .342 41
Daulton Varsho 541 .241 .304 .455 109 .214 .273 7 1.9 .324 96
Kevin Kiermaier 359 .245 .306 .377 90 .132 .312 11 1.8 .298 59
Spencer Horwitz 507 .255 .343 .384 103 .129 .305 8 1.6 .321 67
Brandon Belt 366 .237 .344 .458 122 .221 .318 -1 1.3 .346 51
Ernie Clement 361 .270 .311 .390 95 .120 .287 1 1.1 .305 51
Mason McCoy 472 .210 .272 .345 71 .135 .297 9 1.1 .270 67
Santiago Espinal 357 .268 .327 .363 93 .095 .309 3 1.1 .304 48
Rafael Lantigua 528 .242 .321 .362 91 .120 .306 7 1.0 .302 85
Cavan Biggio 368 .225 .332 .368 96 .143 .295 -2 0.9 .311 49
Alan Roden 516 .253 .343 .348 95 .095 .293 2 0.9 .311 79
Nathan Lukes 355 .265 .321 .382 96 .117 .312 6 0.9 .307 49
Addison Barger 480 .240 .308 .399 96 .159 .300 5 0.9 .308 63
Leo Jimenez 384 .235 .323 .336 85 .101 .292 -1 0.8 .297 45
Whit Merrifield 556 .252 .299 .365 85 .113 .290 0 0.7 .289 100
Damiano Palmegiani 536 .213 .295 .379 87 .166 .285 -1 0.6 .295 59
Orelvis Martinez 550 .221 .289 .413 93 .192 .273 -9 0.6 .302 63
Tanner Morris 420 .236 .325 .323 83 .087 .303 0 0.5 .292 41
Cam Eden 422 .214 .287 .302 65 .087 .309 4 0.5 .265 92
Otto Lopez 434 .251 .305 .337 80 .085 .307 -1 0.5 .283 65
Devonte Brown 405 .203 .294 .352 80 .149 .296 0 0.4 .286 57
Jamie Ritchie 261 .237 .330 .298 78 .061 .303 -1 0.4 .288 25
Tyler Heineman 209 .220 .302 .286 66 .066 .283 2 0.3 .269 22
Michael Turconi 424 .222 .311 .341 83 .119 .292 -3 0.2 .291 46
Luis De Los Santos 400 .215 .273 .330 68 .114 .283 6 0.2 .266 40
Rob Brantly 229 .246 .328 .335 86 .089 .291 -4 0.2 .299 23
Cade Doughty 414 .212 .275 .354 75 .143 .305 1 0.0 .277 42
Josh Kasevich 372 .251 .309 .313 75 .062 .287 -4 0.0 .279 44
Phil Clarke 308 .232 .316 .320 79 .088 .277 -7 -0.1 .288 32
Zac Prepare dinner 300 .184 .276 .330 69 .146 .317 0 -0.1 .271 41
Riley Tirotta 353 .204 .283 .331 71 .127 .308 1 -0.1 .273 43
Steward Berroa 420 .207 .285 .321 69 .114 .300 -1 -0.1 .270 89
Stevie Berman 190 .207 .302 .311 72 .104 .274 -3 -0.2 .277 16
Max McDowell 265 .192 .295 .253 56 .061 .278 0 -0.2 .257 20
Zach Britton 271 .203 .314 .332 81 .129 .304 0 -0.2 .290 31
LJ Talley 341 .224 .293 .334 75 .110 .281 3 -0.3 .279 39
Bryce Arnold 155 .217 .303 .319 75 .101 .286 -4 -0.3 .281 18
Peyton Williams 332 .223 .289 .355 79 .133 .296 2 -0.3 .283 33
Garrett Spain 361 .199 .263 .323 63 .124 .288 7 -0.4 .259 35
Jeffrey Wehler 208 .203 .279 .337 71 .134 .296 -2 -0.5 .272 32
Dylan Rock 148 .187 .264 .313 61 .127 .276 0 -0.5 .258 17
Alex De Jesus 422 .209 .282 .352 76 .143 .305 -5 -0.6 .277 44
Karl Ellison 128 .158 .211 .250 28 .092 .265 -1 -0.8 .206 7
PK Morris 329 .187 .274 .301 61 .114 .289 4 -0.8 .259 26
Trevor Schwecke 360 .218 .286 .331 72 .113 .298 -2 -0.9 .273 42
Gabriel Martinez 454 .239 .282 .357 77 .117 .283 -2 -0.9 .279 45
Miguel Hiraldo 412 .211 .258 .334 64 .123 .308 -4 -0.9 .258 57
Andres Sosa 263 .209 .310 .302 73 .093 .290 -13 -1.0 .280 26
Dasan Brown 461 .209 .279 .298 62 .089 .303 -2 -1.0 .260 66
Kekai Rios 210 .192 .252 .275 48 .083 .283 -9 -1.4 .237 14
Rainer Nunez 484 .229 .271 .345 71 .116 .301 0 -1.4 .268 43
Sebastian Espino 303 .184 .226 .307 47 .124 .331 0 -1.6 .232 24

Batters – High Close to-Age Offensive Comps

Batters – eightieth/twentieth Percentiles

Participant eightieth BA eightieth OBP eightieth SLG eightieth OPS+ eightieth WAR twentieth BA twentieth OBP twentieth SLG twentieth OPS+ twentieth WAR
Bo Bichette .319 .360 .531 144 5.8 .265 .305 .427 102 2.3
Matt Chapman .265 .356 .506 136 4.8 .216 .309 .399 97 2.2
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .306 .385 .546 157 4.7 .254 .332 .438 115 1.3
Alejandro Kirk .292 .374 .454 131 4.2 .235 .316 .351 89 1.9
Davis Schneider .252 .357 .483 128 4.0 .210 .309 .383 93 1.8
George Springer .277 .350 .475 127 3.6 .229 .302 .385 91 1.0
Danny Jansen .270 .356 .533 142 2.7 .218 .301 .410 98 1.2
Daulton Varsho .268 .328 .509 130 3.4 .217 .279 .401 90 0.7
Kevin Kiermaier .274 .332 .425 110 2.6 .219 .277 .336 73 1.0
Spencer Horwitz .280 .367 .428 121 2.6 .228 .316 .350 86 0.5
Brandon Belt .264 .374 .521 147 2.4 .213 .320 .393 101 0.4
Ernie Clement .302 .338 .437 115 2.0 .239 .279 .342 73 0.2
Mason McCoy .237 .300 .398 93 2.4 .185 .246 .303 55 0.2
Santiago Espinal .296 .354 .400 109 1.8 .242 .304 .325 76 0.4
Rafael Lantigua .267 .345 .403 108 2.1 .216 .295 .316 72 -0.2
Cavan Biggio .254 .360 .424 115 1.9 .198 .301 .322 74 0.0
Alan Roden .279 .368 .391 113 2.0 .228 .316 .310 77 -0.1
Nathan Lukes .295 .351 .428 116 1.8 .231 .291 .333 74 -0.1
Addison Barger .265 .332 .447 116 2.0 .214 .281 .349 77 -0.3
Leo Jimenez .259 .348 .382 101 1.6 .209 .300 .300 69 0.0
Whit Merrifield .277 .325 .403 101 1.9 .222 .269 .321 67 -0.6
Damiano Palmegiani .238 .318 .432 107 1.8 .188 .267 .329 67 -0.6
Orelvis Martinez .246 .317 .474 117 2.1 .195 .262 .365 75 -0.7
Tanner Morris .263 .350 .359 97 1.2 .211 .296 .281 64 -0.5
Cam Eden .240 .311 .340 81 1.2 .192 .261 .267 50 -0.5
Otto Lopez .279 .332 .379 98 1.5 .223 .277 .298 63 -0.5
Devonte Brown .228 .318 .396 96 1.2 .175 .267 .296 59 -0.6
Jamie Ritchie .264 .358 .335 95 0.9 .205 .300 .262 61 -0.2
Tyler Heineman .251 .332 .327 85 0.8 .190 .275 .242 49 -0.2
Michael Turconi .245 .336 .384 99 1.0 .195 .287 .296 65 -0.7
Luis De Los Santos .242 .299 .386 88 1.2 .190 .245 .288 48 -0.8
Rob Brantly .276 .354 .374 106 0.7 .216 .304 .295 69 -0.3
Cade Doughty .234 .299 .404 93 0.9 .187 .250 .313 58 -0.9
Josh Kasevich .277 .335 .349 90 0.7 .225 .285 .280 59 -0.8
Phil Clarke .262 .347 .366 99 0.7 .200 .285 .281 60 -0.8
Zac Prepare dinner .213 .301 .386 90 0.6 .160 .255 .279 52 -0.7
Riley Tirotta .233 .309 .381 90 0.7 .180 .259 .284 54 -0.9
Steward Berroa .231 .311 .366 85 0.7 .178 .259 .287 53 -1.0
Stevie Berman .241 .335 .364 94 0.3 .179 .268 .265 52 -0.6
Max McDowell .226 .328 .298 77 0.5 .160 .265 .214 38 -0.8
Zach Britton .229 .341 .380 100 0.4 .176 .285 .286 64 -0.9
LJ Talley .253 .322 .386 95 0.6 .200 .266 .293 59 -1.0
Bryce Arnold .258 .347 .377 102 0.2 .187 .276 .271 56 -0.7
Peyton Williams .248 .316 .402 98 0.4 .199 .264 .317 63 -1.0
Garrett Spain .227 .289 .364 80 0.3 .174 .236 .276 44 -1.3
Jeffrey Wehler .228 .304 .390 90 0.0 .174 .255 .293 52 -0.9
Dylan Rock .217 .298 .364 81 -0.1 .159 .233 .269 41 -0.8
Alex De Jesus .239 .312 .406 97 0.5 .185 .257 .310 58 -1.5
Karl Ellison .192 .244 .303 53 -0.4 .135 .184 .205 11 -1.1
PK Morris .211 .303 .347 79 -0.1 .161 .247 .261 43 -1.5
Trevor Schwecke .239 .309 .373 88 -0.2 .193 .261 .298 57 -1.6
Gabriel Martinez .267 .311 .406 98 0.2 .213 .257 .314 59 -2.0
Miguel Hiraldo .236 .283 .373 82 0.0 .186 .234 .289 45 -1.9
Andres Sosa .237 .338 .348 92 -0.3 .182 .282 .259 54 -1.6
Dasan Brown .231 .299 .338 77 -0.1 .184 .256 .265 48 -1.8
Kekai Rios .222 .287 .317 69 -0.8 .163 .221 .234 29 -1.9
Rainer Nunez .250 .292 .384 88 -0.4 .203 .246 .303 53 -2.5
Sebastian Espino .214 .258 .355 68 -0.8 .157 .204 .259 30 -2.3

Batters – Projected Splits

Participant BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Bo Bichette .302 .350 .500 .287 .326 .458
Matt Chapman .247 .343 .468 .236 .329 .447
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .275 .362 .480 .279 .354 .498
Alejandro Kirk .264 .354 .400 .263 .340 .404
Davis Schneider .228 .336 .429 .232 .330 .431
George Springer .257 .341 .434 .254 .322 .431
Danny Jansen .242 .330 .453 .246 .324 .485
Daulton Varsho .240 .298 .419 .241 .307 .468
Kevin Kiermaier .239 .292 .341 .248 .312 .391
Spencer Horwitz .239 .326 .352 .264 .353 .401
Brandon Belt .226 .333 .417 .241 .348 .474
Ernie Clement .273 .320 .388 .268 .304 .392
Mason McCoy .214 .284 .358 .206 .262 .333
Santiago Espinal .276 .338 .386 .263 .319 .348
Rafael Lantigua .245 .332 .365 .240 .312 .360
Cavan Biggio .224 .330 .341 .226 .332 .378
Alan Roden .241 .338 .331 .258 .345 .355
Nathan Lukes .250 .307 .352 .274 .330 .401
Addison Barger .233 .300 .374 .244 .313 .413
Leo Jimenez .239 .329 .341 .232 .319 .333
Whit Merrifield .258 .304 .374 .249 .296 .361
Damiano Palmegiani .216 .306 .395 .211 .288 .368
Orelvis Martinez .227 .302 .435 .216 .280 .397
Tanner Morris .227 .316 .311 .241 .329 .329
Cam Eden .217 .291 .331 .213 .285 .281
Otto Lopez .259 .319 .344 .244 .292 .330
Devonte Brown .209 .311 .374 .199 .283 .338
Jamie Ritchie .240 .345 .310 .234 .317 .289
Tyler Heineman .222 .310 .254 .218 .299 .303
Michael Turconi .215 .309 .327 .224 .312 .346
Luis De Los Santos .222 .280 .341 .210 .266 .320
Rob Brantly .220 .313 .271 .257 .333 .361
Cade Doughty .215 .280 .356 .210 .272 .354
Josh Kasevich .254 .318 .321 .249 .304 .307
Phil Clarke .222 .307 .289 .236 .320 .335
Zac Prepare dinner .182 .287 .313 .185 .269 .340
Riley Tirotta .202 .288 .341 .205 .280 .324
Steward Berroa .203 .284 .319 .209 .285 .322
Stevie Berman .213 .318 .307 .202 .287 .315
Max McDowell .196 .297 .268 .189 .294 .242
Zach Britton .198 .310 .314 .205 .316 .342
LJ Talley .212 .280 .319 .231 .301 .344
Bryce Arnold .228 .323 .333 .210 .289 .309
Peyton Williams .209 .274 .314 .228 .295 .372
Garrett Spain .186 .259 .304 .205 .265 .332
Jeffrey Wehler .200 .286 .373 .205 .274 .313
Dylan Rock .196 .274 .339 .179 .256 .295
Alex De Jesus .213 .295 .361 .205 .270 .344
Karl Ellison .157 .218 .255 .159 .205 .246
PK Morris .177 .266 .274 .193 .280 .318
Trevor Schwecke .216 .289 .321 .219 .284 .339
Gabriel Martinez .239 .289 .361 .240 .277 .354
Miguel Hiraldo .216 .267 .335 .208 .251 .333
Andres Sosa .215 .321 .312 .205 .303 .295
Dasan Brown .215 .289 .299 .205 .271 .297
Kekai Rios .200 .269 .271 .185 .239 .278
Rainer Nunez .235 .284 .342 .224 .261 .347
Sebastian Espino .185 .233 .323 .182 .220 .296

Pitchers – Superior

Participant IP Ok/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% Ok% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Kevin Gausman 169.0 9.8 2.1 1.2 5.7% 26.4% .304 124 3.53 80 3.6
Chris Bassitt 171.3 7.8 2.4 1.1 6.3% 20.9% .283 112 4.11 89 3.0
José Berríos 170.3 8.5 2.4 1.3 6.5% 22.6% .293 105 4.18 96 2.4
Yusei Kikuchi 135.7 9.1 3.5 1.5 9.0% 23.2% .302 98 4.63 102 1.6
Alek Manoah 120.7 8.1 3.4 1.2 9.0% 21.1% .275 96 4.63 104 1.3
Ricky Tiedemann 79.3 10.4 4.2 1.1 10.9% 27.1% .288 105 4.24 95 1.1
Jordan Romano 58.7 11.0 3.1 1.2 8.3% 29.9% .286 128 3.75 78 1.1
Hyun Jin Ryu 86.3 7.0 2.2 1.4 5.7% 18.3% .299 98 4.42 102 1.0
Bowden Francis 87.7 8.6 3.2 1.3 8.3% 22.6% .282 100 4.57 100 1.0
Chad Dallas 104.0 7.4 4.2 1.2 10.5% 18.7% .292 90 4.91 111 0.9
Erik Swanson 60.0 10.2 2.9 1.2 7.7% 27.4% .289 120 3.72 84 0.8
Mitch White 80.3 8.0 3.4 1.1 8.6% 20.3% .299 94 4.34 107 0.7
Chad Inexperienced 43.3 10.4 2.3 1.2 6.2% 28.1% .294 122 3.51 82 0.7
Zach Thompson 94.3 6.3 3.3 1.2 8.4% 15.9% .295 90 4.89 111 0.7
Tim Mayza 54.7 7.7 3.0 1.0 7.8% 20.3% .285 119 4.01 84 0.7
Hayden Juenger 77.0 8.4 3.9 1.2 9.9% 21.5% .290 100 4.51 100 0.6
Trevor Richards 66.3 11.5 3.9 1.4 10.3% 30.1% .286 102 4.01 98 0.5
Paxton Schultz 93.3 7.1 4.3 1.3 10.7% 17.5% .299 88 5.02 114 0.5
Connor Cooke 48.0 10.1 3.2 1.1 8.2% 26.1% .298 109 3.94 91 0.5
Adam Macko 79.3 8.2 4.5 1.2 11.2% 20.2% .292 86 5.06 116 0.5
Trenton Wallace 59.3 8.3 5.0 1.2 12.4% 20.7% .287 89 5.02 113 0.4
Jordan Hicks 62.3 10.4 4.9 1.0 12.3% 26.1% .288 103 4.23 97 0.4
Brandon Eisert 62.7 8.5 3.0 1.1 7.8% 22.0% .298 103 4.13 97 0.4
Wes Parsons 76.0 7.8 4.3 1.3 10.6% 19.4% .297 87 5.02 115 0.4
Yimi García 57.3 9.4 3.0 1.3 7.9% 25.0% .294 106 4.18 95 0.4
Luis Quinones 74.7 8.7 4.9 1.3 12.1% 21.2% .290 87 5.09 115 0.3
Génesis Cabrera 60.7 9.0 3.9 1.2 9.9% 23.2% .287 104 4.44 96 0.3
Anthony Bass 42.3 9.4 3.2 1.3 8.4% 24.7% .286 113 4.15 89 0.3
Hagen Danner 39.7 9.3 3.2 1.1 8.1% 23.8% .292 105 4.04 95 0.3
Jay Jackson 47.3 9.7 2.5 1.3 6.6% 26.0% .290 108 3.91 93 0.3
Matt Wisler 53.0 8.3 3.6 1.4 9.1% 21.2% .293 98 4.67 103 0.2
Nick Fraze 46.7 6.8 3.7 1.4 9.3% 17.1% .289 86 5.31 116 0.2
Mason Fluharty 54.7 8.4 3.5 1.2 8.9% 21.7% .297 101 4.32 99 0.2
Alejandro Melean 62.3 6.6 4.6 1.2 11.4% 16.4% .292 88 5.13 114 0.2
T.J. Brock 49.0 10.1 3.9 1.1 9.6% 25.2% .294 102 4.19 98 0.2
Nate Pearson 57.0 9.8 4.6 1.3 11.4% 24.4% .286 97 4.59 103 0.2
Trent Palmer 53.0 8.5 5.4 1.2 13.2% 20.6% .291 82 5.24 122 0.2
Michael Dominguez 85.0 8.2 5.8 1.4 14.1% 19.7% .289 81 5.58 123 0.2
CJ Van Eyk 52.7 7.0 4.6 1.4 11.3% 17.1% .294 81 5.32 123 0.1
Rowan Wick 48.0 9.6 4.1 1.3 10.4% 24.1% .302 96 4.53 104 0.1
Abdiel Mendoza 61.0 6.2 4.1 1.2 10.1% 15.2% .299 83 5.21 120 0.1
Andrew Bash 73.7 6.2 4.4 1.2 10.8% 15.4% .290 84 5.39 119 0.1
Sean Mellen 40.7 8.0 4.9 1.3 12.0% 19.6% .297 88 5.17 113 0.1
Ryan Boyer 30.7 8.8 3.5 1.2 9.0% 22.4% .294 98 4.56 102 0.0
Brendon Little 59.7 7.5 4.4 1.2 10.6% 18.2% .298 92 4.98 109 0.0
Luke Bard 34.7 7.5 3.6 1.3 9.2% 19.0% .294 87 5.01 115 0.0
Matt Peacock 53.0 5.6 3.9 1.4 9.6% 13.8% .295 85 5.33 118 0.0
Jimmy Robbins 76.7 7.0 5.4 1.3 13.0% 16.9% .293 78 5.71 128 0.0
Yosver Zulueta 56.7 8.6 5.2 1.3 12.8% 21.0% .287 82 5.51 122 0.0
Trevor Clifton 50.0 6.3 4.5 1.4 10.9% 15.3% .293 77 5.80 130 -0.1
Adam Cimber 47.0 5.9 2.1 1.3 5.5% 15.6% .289 90 4.89 111 -0.1
Zach Pop 51.3 7.7 3.2 1.2 8.1% 19.8% .298 91 4.66 110 -0.1
Gabe Klobosits 26.0 6.2 4.5 1.4 11.0% 15.3% .293 83 5.60 121 -0.2
Grayson Thurman 42.7 6.5 4.4 1.3 10.7% 15.8% .293 85 5.18 118 -0.2
Gabriel Ponce 54.0 8.8 6.0 1.3 14.6% 21.5% .291 83 5.50 120 -0.2
Jackson Rees 27.7 9.8 6.2 1.3 14.6% 23.1% .301 83 5.13 121 -0.2
Julian Fernández 40.0 7.0 4.3 1.4 10.5% 17.1% .289 87 5.23 115 -0.2
Naswell Paulino 63.0 6.3 5.3 1.4 12.7% 15.1% .293 77 5.87 129 -0.2
Paul Fry 46.7 8.5 5.0 1.2 12.4% 21.0% .290 83 5.03 121 -0.2
Adrian Hernandez 47.3 9.5 6.3 1.3 14.9% 22.5% .288 84 5.47 119 -0.2
Jimmy Burnette 43.0 10.3 6.1 1.3 14.9% 25.1% .287 86 5.30 117 -0.3
Troy Watson 54.3 6.1 5.0 1.3 12.0% 14.7% .291 79 5.63 127 -0.3
Fitz Stadler 38.7 8.4 6.8 1.4 15.7% 19.5% .300 74 5.82 135 -0.4
Parker Caracci 34.3 6.8 6.0 1.3 14.0% 15.9% .288 78 5.82 128 -0.4
Jol Concepcion 41.7 7.6 8.6 1.5 19.2% 16.8% .287 66 6.93 150 -0.6

Pitchers – High Close to-Age Comps

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles

Participant BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R eightieth WAR twentieth WAR eightieth ERA twentieth ERA
Kevin Gausman .229 .278 .377 .253 .293 .419 4.6 2.3 2.87 4.14
Chris Bassitt .233 .299 .404 .250 .301 .385 3.9 2.0 3.33 4.41
José Berríos .250 .315 .442 .245 .293 .388 3.3 1.2 3.65 4.83
Yusei Kikuchi .209 .275 .357 .267 .340 .465 2.4 0.4 3.84 5.27
Alek Manoah .266 .355 .456 .204 .279 .333 2.2 0.5 3.90 5.15
Ricky Tiedemann .223 .321 .394 .223 .321 .364 1.8 0.5 3.38 4.83
Jordan Romano .206 .277 .353 .229 .303 .398 1.8 0.2 2.59 4.68
Hyun Jin Ryu .271 .308 .435 .266 .309 .452 1.5 0.4 3.81 5.17
Bowden Francis .253 .326 .432 .227 .303 .398 1.5 0.3 3.82 5.06
Chad Dallas .265 .351 .420 .245 .329 .418 1.4 0.2 4.32 5.30
Erik Swanson .239 .298 .398 .217 .278 .374 1.4 0.1 2.88 4.86
Mitch White .247 .325 .387 .261 .320 .436 1.2 0.1 3.98 5.32
Chad Inexperienced .237 .284 .421 .225 .271 .371 1.2 0.1 2.58 4.96
Zach Thompson .272 .350 .456 .264 .319 .421 1.2 0.1 4.35 5.39
Tim Mayza .215 .267 .329 .258 .322 .417 1.2 0.1 3.00 4.35
Hayden Juenger .228 .319 .379 .260 .331 .422 1.2 0.1 3.80 4.86
Trevor Richards .212 .302 .372 .221 .296 .404 1.2 -0.2 3.24 5.40
Paxton Schultz .274 .367 .441 .255 .326 .427 1.0 -0.2 4.46 5.54
Connor Cooke .244 .316 .407 .224 .306 .378 1.0 0.0 3.02 4.92
Adam Macko .245 .339 .404 .251 .352 .428 1.0 -0.1 4.47 5.62
Trenton Wallace .227 .325 .318 .250 .354 .445 0.8 0.0 4.34 5.54
Jordan Hicks .255 .365 .415 .194 .295 .318 1.0 -0.4 3.54 5.24
Brandon Eisert .241 .309 .345 .253 .312 .437 0.9 -0.2 3.45 5.05
Wes Parsons .255 .350 .412 .260 .339 .459 0.9 -0.2 4.44 5.69
Yimi García .237 .314 .441 .242 .305 .383 1.0 -0.3 3.24 5.13
Luis Quinones .237 .342 .430 .252 .350 .406 0.8 -0.3 4.40 5.68
Génesis Cabrera .240 .333 .360 .234 .315 .411 0.9 -0.2 3.54 4.92
Anthony Bass .247 .321 .411 .225 .286 .393 0.7 -0.1 2.98 4.93
Hagen Danner .247 .321 .438 .228 .295 .354 0.7 -0.1 3.27 5.00
Jay Jackson .241 .300 .398 .232 .280 .424 0.8 -0.3 2.94 5.58
Matt Wisler .266 .358 .479 .239 .293 .389 0.7 -0.3 3.65 5.42
Nick Fraze .261 .363 .455 .260 .333 .427 0.5 -0.1 4.52 5.62
Mason Fluharty .225 .291 .352 .261 .333 .437 0.6 -0.3 3.65 5.11
Alejandro Melean .234 .333 .369 .281 .364 .459 0.6 -0.2 4.44 5.51
T.J. Brock .233 .330 .400 .227 .315 .371 0.6 -0.2 3.53 5.01
Nate Pearson .240 .350 .423 .221 .305 .372 0.7 -0.3 3.73 5.16
Trent Palmer .258 .376 .443 .231 .344 .370 0.5 -0.3 4.73 6.10
Michael Dominguez .281 .397 .490 .223 .335 .380 0.8 -0.5 4.75 5.92
CJ Van Eyk .280 .376 .480 .248 .325 .404 0.5 -0.3 4.74 6.08
Rowan Wick .256 .350 .400 .237 .312 .433 0.6 -0.3 3.70 5.41
Abdiel Mendoza .315 .405 .528 .235 .314 .360 0.4 -0.3 4.72 5.77
Andrew Bash .275 .373 .486 .253 .341 .390 0.5 -0.5 4.66 5.79
Sean Mellen .255 .356 .392 .257 .349 .450 0.4 -0.3 4.27 5.59
Ryan Boyer .263 .354 .456 .226 .310 .371 0.3 -0.3 3.68 5.44
Brendon Little .234 .318 .351 .270 .361 .459 0.5 -0.4 4.07 5.37
Luke Bard .274 .366 .468 .243 .321 .405 0.3 -0.3 4.26 5.79
Matt Peacock .293 .377 .485 .261 .317 .426 0.3 -0.4 4.58 5.75
Jimmy Robbins .250 .364 .402 .265 .376 .455 0.5 -0.5 4.99 6.18
Yosver Zulueta .233 .375 .437 .250 .358 .388 0.4 -0.6 4.59 6.15
Trevor Clifton .276 .374 .469 .265 .356 .441 0.3 -0.5 5.05 6.35
Adam Cimber .268 .338 .493 .267 .312 .414 0.2 -0.5 4.08 5.72
Zach Pop .258 .333 .473 .257 .328 .385 0.3 -0.5 4.01 5.67
Gabe Klobosits .269 .367 .442 .269 .350 .481 0.0 -0.4 4.70 5.91
Grayson Thurman .269 .367 .436 .261 .330 .435 0.1 -0.4 4.56 5.59
Gabriel Ponce .265 .392 .469 .225 .341 .378 0.2 -0.6 4.53 5.83
Jackson Rees .245 .375 .453 .241 .344 .389 0.1 -0.5 4.44 6.49
Julian Fernández .264 .354 .417 .256 .337 .453 0.1 -0.6 4.39 5.73
Naswell Paulino .256 .366 .423 .276 .371 .466 0.2 -0.7 4.95 6.23
Paul Fry .243 .354 .414 .243 .351 .396 0.2 -0.8 4.42 6.46
Adrian Hernandez .241 .383 .391 .232 .351 .432 0.1 -0.7 4.50 5.98
Jimmy Burnette .204 .348 .296 .239 .373 .450 0.2 -0.6 4.24 5.71
Troy Watson .257 .363 .476 .277 .359 .411 0.0 -0.8 4.96 6.17
Fitz Stadler .257 .389 .459 .256 .372 .423 0.0 -0.8 5.15 6.86
Parker Caracci .270 .395 .460 .250 .353 .417 -0.2 -0.8 4.92 6.61
Jol Concepcion .239 .413 .408 .269 .410 .484 -0.3 -1.0 5.70 7.44

Gamers are listed with their most up-to-date groups wherever attainable. This contains gamers who’re unsigned or have retired, gamers who will miss 2024 attributable to damage, and gamers who had been launched in 2023. So sure, should you see Joe Schmoe, who stop baseball again in August to type a Belgian Dying Steel Skiffle Band that solely performs songs by Franz Schubert, he’s nonetheless listed right here deliberately. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values would possibly differ barely from those who seem within the full launch of ZiPS. Lastly, I’ll advise anybody towards — and would possibly karate chop anybody responsible of — merely including up WAR totals on a depth chart to provide projected workforce WAR.

As at all times, incorrect projections are both brought on by flaws within the bodily actuality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our buddy and former editor. You may, nevertheless, nonetheless get mad at me on Twitter.



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