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Friday, July 12, 2024
HomeBaseball2024 ZiPS Projections: Baltimore Orioles

2024 ZiPS Projections: Baltimore Orioles


For the twentieth consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For extra data on the ZiPS projections, please seek the advice of this 12 months’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The staff order is chosen by lot, and the following staff up is the Baltimore Orioles.

Batters

If you happen to’ve appeared on the depth chart or glanced down on the projections — for those who haven’t, it is a bizarre article to be studying — you should be impressed with simply how a lot offensive expertise the O’s have. In fact, some spots are brighter (catcher, third base) than others (first base), however there’s actually no gaping gap anyplace on this lineup. This displays the success the staff has had creating offensive prospects in recent times. Whereas virtually not one of the gamers picked up within the 2018 selloff have labored out all that nicely, the Elias-era entrance workplace has an incredible document with minor league hitters. The O’s had our prime prospect in 2022 (Adley Rutschman) and 2023 (Gunnar Henderson, although ZiPS had him second to Corbin Carroll), and Jackson Holliday, at the moment no. 1 on The Board, appears to be like to be the heavy favourite to be the highest prospect in 2024. Heck, it’s not outdoors the realm of risk that somebody like Coby Mayo or Samuel Basallo finally ends up the highest prospect in 2025! The O’s eke out just a few extra wins than the depth chart right here merely due to their depth; gamers like Mayo, Joey Ortiz, Colton Cowser, and Connor Norby all challenge to be constructive contributors with out an apparent place to lock up enjoying time proper now. It’s solely a slight exaggeration to say that I’d slightly have a lineup of all of the Orioles who don’t make their staff’s 25-man roster out of spring coaching than all of the Washington Nationals who do!

The Ryans O’Hearn and Mountcastle challenge because the weakest a part of the lineup, however offense is briefly provide in free company, and I don’t count on Baltimore to make any adjustments right here. It was all the time extraordinarily unlikely that the Orioles would return to being one of many league’s payroll heavy hitters, however feedback from John Angelos recommend that they’re not even going to be a center class staff, with spending extra consistent with Tampa Bay or Pittsburgh. If the least worthwhile components of your offense challenge for a wRC+ round 110, you have got greater wants elsewhere. Earlier than anybody calls shenanigans on a number of the prime comps, Mike Scioscia broke into the majors as a extremely good hitter earlier than his radiation poisoning and Grady Hatton was a extremely good hitter when he was younger, too. However when your prime prospect will get two Corridor of Famers in his prime three comps, plus a 3rd participant who should be a Corridor of Famer, you shouldn’t be too grasping.

This is without doubt one of the finest offensive groups in baseball. Whereas that’s by no means a assure of success, it’s an incredible place to start out!

Pitchers

Whereas the O’s have developed a variety of hitters, they haven’t had the identical luck with pitchers outdoors of Grayson Rodriguez. Only a few of the massive secure of no. 4-ish starter prospects they’d just a few years in the past actually developed additional, with Kyle Bradish and Dean Kremer being the first success tales. Suspicions surrounding the pitching are what held Baltimore again within the ZiPS projections final 12 months, and whereas the pc has come round on a lot of pitchers, Bradish most notably, it’s nonetheless a rotation that’s begging for one high-end starter in free company. I’d like to see the O’s go after Shōta Imanaga in any case; he’s gotten quite a bit much less press than Yoshinobu Yamamoto, however he ought to come cheaper and there’s quite a bit to love about him. Plus, he’s a fly ball lefty whose weak point is being often gopher ball-prone, and Camden Yards nowadays could be very pleasant for that sort of pitcher.

Among the Bradish acquire is counteracted by ZiPS’ crush on Kremer being a bit extra chaste than final 12 months, however the rotation is no less than acceptable as long as they don’t have poor luck with accidents. The staff had been fairly fortunate till late within the season when Félix Bautista went on the IL, the place he’ll keep in 2024 because of Tommy John surgical procedure. The bullpen ranked second in staff WAR in 2023, however almost 40% of that whole was Bautista. If the O’s stand pat on the general accomplishments of their 2023 ‘pen, they may remorse it.

So how do the O’s look proper now? You’ll be able to add up the depth chart numbers (regardless of my warnings) and get them proper round 90, and the present ZiPS sim has them at round 92 wins, the perfect document within the division. However that quantity shall be revised because the winter progresses, and if groups just like the Jays make any large additions and the O’s don’t, this standing might erode considerably, regardless of the depth. It’s tempting to contemplate Baltimore’s 101 win-total in 2023 to be the staff’s “start line,” however that’s a path to disappointment, as a staff exceeding its Pythagorean document and enjoying nicely in extra-innings/one-run video games isn’t very predictive. Neither is it defined by bullpen high quality; the r-squared between ‘pen high quality, finest reliever high quality, and finest three-reliever high quality and Pythag/extra-innings/one-run recreation document is underneath 0.05 traditionally. And even then, the O’s don’t challenge to have pretty much as good a bullpen subsequent go-around, because of the lack of Bautista. And no, projection misses aren’t predictive of future projection misses, even for very younger or very previous groups (because the projection programs already think about age).

It is a excellent staff. The query is whether or not possession is prepared to speculate sufficient for the Orioles to actually discover their ceiling.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by the use of these listed right here. Measurement of participant names could be very roughly proportional to Depth Chart enjoying time.

Batters – Normal

Participant B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Adley Rutschman B 26 C 578 497 77 132 34 1 18 69 72 88 2 1
Gunnar Henderson L 23 3B 640 561 103 146 27 7 26 93 68 158 12 4
Cedric Mullins L 29 CF 571 515 70 133 27 4 17 68 45 113 23 6
Jackson Holliday L 20 SS 610 538 86 137 23 6 11 70 69 141 12 6
Jordan Westburg R 25 2B 546 493 74 123 27 3 17 71 42 138 8 2
Anthony Santander B 29 RF 607 549 78 141 33 1 28 88 47 130 3 1
Coby Mayo R 22 3B 597 528 69 122 29 2 19 81 56 164 3 1
Austin Hays R 28 LF 543 499 74 132 30 2 18 68 36 127 4 2
Joey Ortiz R 25 SS 469 434 59 107 22 3 8 54 28 94 6 2
Ramón Urías R 30 3B 404 364 46 92 19 1 10 47 31 100 2 1
Colton Cowser L 24 CF 517 443 74 104 20 1 13 67 59 152 7 3
Jud Fabian R 23 CF 516 453 55 91 18 2 16 57 53 184 14 5
Connor Norby R 24 2B 586 534 78 132 24 3 17 75 41 142 7 4
Jorge Mateo R 29 SS 394 365 53 85 18 4 9 42 20 100 27 6
Ryan Mountcastle R 27 1B 553 503 66 130 23 1 23 79 40 132 3 1
Heston Kjerstad L 25 RF 534 487 69 123 22 4 14 71 31 119 3 2
Adam Frazier L 32 2B 505 459 59 117 21 3 7 50 35 68 9 5
Ryan O’Hearn L 30 1B 387 356 48 91 15 1 18 60 25 95 3 1
Daz Cameron R 27 CF 441 398 54 93 19 1 11 56 31 116 14 4
Kyle Stowers L 26 RF 444 395 50 92 17 1 18 62 40 136 3 2
Lewin Díaz L 27 1B 480 436 58 103 20 1 18 65 35 110 1 1
Josh Lester L 29 3B 492 458 59 106 21 2 20 70 28 140 2 1
Samuel Basallo L 19 C 467 428 57 96 18 3 15 61 34 108 5 3
Aaron Hicks B 34 CF 321 277 41 66 9 1 8 31 42 74 5 1
Maverick Handley R 26 C 291 255 30 53 9 1 5 30 26 85 5 1
Hudson Haskin R 25 CF 346 304 38 70 13 2 6 46 21 97 8 3
James McCann R 34 C 286 263 29 62 11 0 7 30 16 76 3 1
Ryan McKenna R 27 CF 278 246 38 53 10 1 7 30 24 87 6 2
Greg Cullen L 27 3B 252 216 20 48 8 1 3 24 30 61 2 1
Max Wagner R 22 3B 477 429 61 91 17 3 9 49 37 138 13 4
Sam Hilliard L 30 CF 364 327 47 67 12 2 14 40 34 125 9 1
Terrin Vavra L 27 LF 232 205 30 49 9 1 3 25 21 50 3 1
Ramón Rodríguez R 25 C 218 199 18 49 8 0 2 19 14 31 1 1
Meibrys Viloria L 27 C 294 256 29 54 11 0 5 30 33 86 1 1
Anthony Bemboom L 34 C 221 198 22 43 6 1 4 19 19 53 1 1
Ben DeLuzio R 29 LF 315 286 38 63 10 4 4 29 20 95 10 4
Silas Ardoin R 23 C 378 334 33 64 11 0 5 32 40 135 3 3
José Godoy L 29 C 259 239 28 57 8 0 5 28 16 57 1 1
Cadyn Grenier R 27 SS 414 360 43 72 15 2 4 36 42 128 7 3
Mark Kolozsvary R 28 C 188 168 20 30 7 0 4 20 12 69 1 1
Shayne Fontana L 27 LF 373 330 41 75 12 2 6 41 31 88 9 3
Elio Prado R 22 CF 431 389 46 86 12 3 7 45 28 98 5 5
Collin Burns L 24 SS 245 225 28 48 7 1 2 21 14 56 7 1
Billy Cook dinner R 25 RF 465 429 46 91 15 3 13 55 25 140 15 2
Connor Pavolony R 24 C 149 130 14 23 4 1 2 11 15 55 1 1
Dylan Beavers L 22 RF 520 468 56 108 26 4 7 53 45 129 13 6
Joseph Rosa B 27 SS 333 298 35 63 12 2 3 30 27 101 7 2
Gilbert Lara R 26 SS 299 286 22 63 11 1 4 26 9 88 1 1
Randy Florentino L 23 C 211 192 23 42 6 0 3 17 14 48 1 1
Tim Susnara L 28 C 178 161 13 29 5 0 3 17 13 65 0 1
John Rhodes R 23 LF 441 398 49 84 17 3 8 46 35 122 6 1
Frederick Bencosme L 21 SS 463 424 48 103 15 3 2 36 33 75 12 4
Jacob Teter L 25 1B 332 303 26 65 15 0 5 30 25 98 1 1
Donta’ Williams L 25 CF 388 339 43 66 14 1 4 34 39 119 12 6
Zach Watson R 27 CF 335 313 34 63 11 2 7 34 13 112 9 2
TT Bowens R 26 1B 343 312 35 60 11 1 7 35 26 123 1 1
Anthony Servideo L 25 SS 350 315 29 50 10 0 2 22 30 152 4 3

Batters – Superior

Participant PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA RC
Adley Rutschman 578 .266 .362 .447 125 .181 .292 5 4.8 .350 81
Gunnar Henderson 640 .260 .344 .472 126 .212 .318 5 4.5 .350 95
Cedric Mullins 571 .258 .322 .425 107 .167 .301 5 2.9 .322 78
Jackson Holliday 610 .255 .341 .381 103 .126 .326 0 2.7 .319 75
Jordan Westburg 546 .249 .317 .420 105 .170 .314 4 2.6 .320 68
Anthony Santander 607 .257 .321 .474 119 .217 .289 -1 2.3 .339 85
Coby Mayo 597 .231 .315 .402 99 .170 .299 2 2.0 .313 68
Austin Hays 543 .265 .319 .441 110 .176 .322 4 1.9 .326 72
Joey Ortiz 469 .247 .296 .366 85 .120 .298 6 1.6 .290 49
Ramón Urías 404 .253 .323 .393 100 .140 .323 3 1.6 .314 47
Colton Cowser 517 .235 .335 .372 99 .138 .327 -2 1.5 .314 58
Jud Fabian 516 .201 .287 .355 79 .155 .296 9 1.4 .283 51
Connor Norby 586 .247 .305 .399 96 .152 .307 -2 1.3 .305 68
Jorge Mateo 394 .233 .277 .378 81 .145 .297 4 1.3 .283 46
Ryan Mountcastle 553 .258 .313 .445 110 .187 .307 0 1.2 .324 71
Heston Kjerstad 534 .253 .313 .400 98 .148 .308 5 1.2 .310 62
Adam Frazier 505 .255 .315 .359 89 .105 .286 1 1.1 .297 56
Ryan O’Hearn 387 .256 .307 .455 110 .199 .300 1 0.9 .324 51
Daz Cameron 441 .234 .298 .369 86 .136 .303 2 0.9 .292 48
Kyle Stowers 444 .233 .311 .418 102 .185 .307 1 0.8 .315 53
Lewin Díaz 480 .236 .298 .411 96 .174 .276 6 0.8 .305 54
Josh Lester 492 .231 .278 .417 92 .186 .289 0 0.8 .296 54
Samuel Basallo 467 .224 .285 .386 86 .161 .266 -4 0.7 .290 49
Aaron Hicks 321 .238 .340 .365 98 .126 .297 -5 0.6 .314 36
Maverick Handley 291 .208 .300 .310 72 .102 .291 2 0.6 .277 25
Hudson Haskin 346 .230 .314 .345 85 .115 .318 0 0.6 .295 36
James McCann 286 .236 .288 .357 80 .122 .306 0 0.5 .283 28
Ryan McKenna 278 .215 .291 .350 79 .134 .303 2 0.5 .283 27
Greg Cullen 252 .222 .327 .310 81 .088 .296 2 0.4 .290 23
Max Wagner 477 .212 .285 .329 72 .117 .291 4 0.4 .273 44
Sam Hilliard 364 .205 .283 .382 84 .177 .282 -2 0.4 .289 38
Terrin Vavra 232 .239 .320 .337 85 .098 .303 2 0.3 .295 23
Ramón Rodríguez 218 .246 .296 .317 72 .070 .283 0 0.2 .273 19
Meibrys Viloria 294 .211 .310 .313 76 .102 .297 -3 0.2 .281 25
Anthony Bemboom 221 .217 .290 .318 71 .101 .277 0 0.2 .271 19
Ben DeLuzio 315 .220 .284 .325 71 .105 .316 7 0.1 .271 30
Silas Ardoin 378 .192 .283 .269 57 .078 .304 4 0.1 .254 27
José Godoy 259 .238 .290 .335 75 .096 .294 -2 0.0 .276 24
Cadyn Grenier 414 .200 .294 .286 64 .086 .298 0 0.0 .266 33
Mark Kolozsvary 188 .179 .262 .292 55 .113 .274 2 0.0 .251 13
Shayne Fontana 373 .227 .307 .330 79 .103 .292 2 0.0 .286 37
Elio Prado 431 .221 .291 .321 72 .100 .278 1 0.0 .274 39
Collin Burns 245 .213 .270 .280 55 .067 .275 1 -0.2 .248 19
Billy Cook dinner 465 .212 .265 .352 71 .140 .283 5 -0.2 .269 44
Connor Pavolony 149 .177 .275 .269 54 .092 .288 -1 -0.3 .250 10
Dylan Beavers 520 .231 .300 .348 82 .118 .304 0 -0.4 .285 54
Joseph Rosa 333 .211 .288 .295 65 .084 .309 -4 -0.4 .264 28
Gilbert Lara 299 .220 .251 .308 56 .087 .304 1 -0.4 .245 23
Randy Florentino 211 .219 .271 .297 60 .078 .277 -4 -0.6 .253 16
Tim Susnara 178 .180 .253 .267 46 .087 .280 -2 -0.6 .236 11
John Rhodes 441 .211 .283 .329 72 .118 .284 0 -0.8 .271 39
Frederick Bencosme 463 .243 .300 .307 71 .064 .291 -11 -0.8 .272 43
Jacob Teter 332 .215 .274 .314 65 .099 .300 2 -0.9 .261 27
Donta’ Williams 388 .195 .289 .277 61 .083 .287 -4 -1.0 .259 32
Zach Watson 335 .201 .240 .316 55 .115 .289 -4 -1.2 .243 26
TT Bowens 343 .192 .262 .301 58 .109 .291 -1 -1.5 .252 25
Anthony Servideo 350 .159 .238 .210 27 .051 .298 -6 -2.3 .208 18

Batters – Prime Close to-Age Offensive Comps

Batters – eightieth/twentieth Percentiles

Participant eightieth BA eightieth OBP eightieth SLG eightieth OPS+ eightieth WAR twentieth BA twentieth OBP twentieth SLG twentieth OPS+ twentieth WAR
Adley Rutschman .291 .386 .500 146 6.2 .241 .336 .403 109 3.5
Gunnar Henderson .284 .374 .533 148 6.2 .234 .319 .419 106 3.0
Cedric Mullins .283 .347 .475 126 4.3 .231 .297 .371 87 1.5
Jackson Holliday .282 .373 .427 122 4.1 .229 .313 .343 85 1.2
Jordan Westburg .275 .344 .469 124 3.8 .226 .292 .368 84 1.1
Anthony Santander .282 .347 .539 143 4.0 .231 .296 .417 98 0.7
Coby Mayo .258 .340 .453 119 3.5 .204 .286 .346 77 0.5
Austin Hays .293 .343 .489 128 3.1 .236 .291 .389 89 0.5
Joey Ortiz .271 .324 .410 103 2.7 .224 .274 .326 70 0.7
Ramón Urías .281 .352 .450 122 2.6 .226 .296 .347 78 0.5
Colton Cowser .264 .364 .423 121 2.9 .207 .311 .329 82 0.5
Jud Fabian .227 .311 .401 96 2.5 .176 .261 .304 59 0.1
Connor Norby .273 .332 .450 115 2.6 .223 .281 .353 76 -0.2
Jorge Mateo .259 .304 .437 104 2.3 .206 .251 .334 63 0.3
Ryan Mountcastle .283 .334 .498 127 2.4 .231 .285 .396 90 -0.1
Heston Kjerstad .283 .342 .452 119 2.6 .225 .286 .354 79 0.0
Adam Frazier .282 .341 .399 104 2.1 .228 .290 .322 71 0.0
Ryan O’Hearn .280 .330 .507 129 1.9 .226 .276 .399 88 -0.1
Daz Cameron .258 .325 .416 106 1.9 .206 .268 .319 64 -0.4
Kyle Stowers .255 .333 .479 123 2.0 .206 .287 .363 82 -0.2
Lewin Díaz .261 .327 .464 118 2.1 .210 .269 .359 76 -0.3
Josh Lester .255 .298 .475 114 2.1 .209 .253 .370 76 -0.2
Samuel Basallo .250 .313 .450 106 1.9 .197 .256 .337 67 -0.6
Aaron Hicks .270 .370 .418 118 1.4 .209 .308 .313 77 -0.2
Maverick Handley .235 .331 .362 92 1.3 .177 .271 .266 53 0.0
Hudson Haskin .262 .338 .392 104 1.4 .203 .284 .297 65 -0.3
James McCann .262 .317 .406 102 1.2 .207 .264 .314 63 -0.2
Ryan McKenna .243 .317 .402 99 1.1 .188 .261 .303 59 -0.3
Greg Cullen .249 .355 .349 97 1.0 .192 .299 .270 62 -0.1
Max Wagner .237 .310 .369 90 1.6 .188 .258 .285 54 -0.6
Sam Hilliard .234 .315 .452 109 1.5 .181 .255 .328 62 -0.6
Terrin Vavra .263 .343 .383 104 0.8 .209 .289 .295 65 -0.3
Ramón Rodríguez .282 .331 .363 94 0.8 .208 .259 .273 52 -0.4
Meibrys Viloria .239 .341 .361 95 0.8 .181 .282 .268 54 -0.6
Anthony Bemboom .253 .323 .373 93 0.7 .187 .258 .270 50 -0.4
Ben DeLuzio .249 .313 .370 92 0.9 .197 .258 .279 53 -0.6
Silas Ardoin .225 .312 .312 77 1.1 .165 .251 .229 38 -0.8
José Godoy .276 .329 .389 101 0.9 .210 .265 .294 59 -0.5
Cadyn Grenier .226 .320 .332 83 1.0 .168 .264 .248 46 -0.9
Mark Kolozsvary .212 .296 .349 79 0.5 .149 .229 .241 34 -0.6
Shayne Fontana .253 .337 .378 100 0.9 .197 .278 .290 60 -0.9
Elio Prado .250 .318 .370 93 1.1 .196 .264 .282 55 -0.9
Collin Burns .244 .300 .324 74 0.4 .184 .242 .245 39 -0.8
Billy Cook dinner .239 .290 .400 91 0.9 .188 .241 .307 55 -1.2
Connor Pavolony .209 .304 .323 76 0.1 .150 .246 .226 37 -0.7
Dylan Beavers .255 .323 .386 99 0.6 .206 .273 .308 67 -1.4
Joseph Rosa .241 .316 .336 82 0.3 .184 .260 .255 47 -1.2
Gilbert Lara .250 .278 .347 74 0.3 .194 .225 .268 37 -1.1
Randy Florentino .256 .312 .353 83 0.1 .183 .242 .249 39 -1.1
Tim Susnara .214 .292 .324 70 0.0 .151 .220 .225 24 -1.1
John Rhodes .236 .308 .367 87 0.1 .184 .255 .284 52 -1.9
Frederick Bencosme .274 .332 .345 90 0.4 .215 .274 .268 52 -1.9
Jacob Teter .239 .298 .353 81 -0.2 .188 .243 .274 46 -1.6
Donta’ Williams .223 .316 .318 79 -0.1 .170 .262 .239 44 -1.8
Zach Watson .229 .267 .365 73 -0.4 .173 .213 .276 36 -2.0
TT Bowens .215 .287 .347 74 -0.8 .166 .234 .259 39 -2.2
Anthony Servideo .188 .269 .251 46 -1.5 .129 .211 .171 11 -3.0

Batters – Projected Splits

Participant BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Adley Rutschman .263 .367 .430 .267 .359 .456
Gunnar Henderson .245 .333 .436 .269 .350 .493
Cedric Mullins .243 .310 .401 .264 .327 .435
Jackson Holliday .240 .323 .370 .260 .348 .385
Jordan Westburg .251 .328 .433 .248 .307 .408
Anthony Santander .259 .330 .471 .256 .317 .475
Coby Mayo .231 .318 .394 .231 .313 .407
Austin Hays .268 .327 .458 .263 .314 .431
Joey Ortiz .251 .309 .374 .243 .287 .360
Ramón Urías .248 .325 .390 .256 .321 .395
Colton Cowser .227 .328 .347 .239 .339 .386
Jud Fabian .203 .298 .360 .199 .281 .352
Connor Norby .250 .314 .412 .245 .300 .390
Jorge Mateo .241 .289 .404 .228 .269 .362
Ryan Mountcastle .263 .323 .464 .256 .307 .435
Heston Kjerstad .242 .304 .373 .257 .317 .413
Adam Frazier .239 .297 .321 .260 .320 .371
Ryan O’Hearn .234 .286 .390 .262 .314 .473
Daz Cameron .238 .304 .390 .230 .293 .354
Kyle Stowers .228 .305 .389 .236 .314 .435
Lewin Díaz .229 .287 .396 .240 .303 .418
Josh Lester .223 .269 .391 .237 .285 .434
Samuel Basallo .213 .271 .361 .229 .290 .395
Aaron Hicks .241 .340 .379 .237 .339 .358
Maverick Handley .213 .309 .352 .204 .293 .279
Hudson Haskin .233 .314 .353 .227 .314 .338
James McCann .242 .300 .385 .233 .281 .343
Ryan McKenna .220 .301 .367 .212 .283 .336
Greg Cullen .221 .329 .294 .223 .326 .318
Max Wagner .216 .293 .327 .210 .280 .330
Sam Hilliard .202 .279 .383 .206 .285 .382
Terrin Vavra .234 .319 .313 .241 .321 .348
Ramón Rodríguez .250 .302 .330 .243 .292 .306
Meibrys Viloria .202 .309 .310 .215 .310 .314
Anthony Bemboom .206 .282 .286 .222 .293 .333
Ben DeLuzio .230 .296 .338 .211 .273 .313
Silas Ardoin .195 .299 .273 .189 .273 .267
José Godoy .224 .272 .318 .247 .299 .344
Cadyn Grenier .194 .294 .279 .244 .295 .341
Mark Kolozsvary .184 .262 .303 .174 .262 .283
Shayne Fontana .209 .290 .309 .236 .316 .341
Elio Prado .229 .300 .319 .216 .285 .322
Collin Burns .208 .269 .278 .216 .271 .281
Billy Cook dinner .211 .268 .354 .213 .263 .350
Connor Pavolony .179 .292 .304 .176 .262 .243
Dylan Beavers .217 .287 .326 .236 .305 .357
Joseph Rosa .213 .294 .291 .211 .284 .298
Gilbert Lara .227 .261 .333 .214 .242 .286
Randy Florentino .203 .250 .288 .226 .281 .301
Tim Susnara .170 .250 .255 .184 .254 .272
John Rhodes .217 .294 .329 .207 .276 .329
Frederick Bencosme .226 .284 .298 .250 .307 .310
Jacob Teter .205 .260 .284 .219 .280 .326
Donta’ Williams .183 .277 .250 .200 .295 .289
Zach Watson .203 .243 .315 .200 .238 .318
TT Bowens .200 .280 .317 .186 .247 .287
Anthony Servideo .157 .235 .180 .159 .239 .221

Pitchers – Superior

Participant IP Okay/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% Okay% BABIP ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Kyle Bradish 155.3 8.6 3.1 1.0 8.2% 22.6% .281 110 3.93 91 2.8
Dean Kremer 154.0 7.7 2.8 1.0 7.4% 20.3% .290 106 4.03 94 2.6
Grayson Rodriguez 141.7 9.7 2.8 1.2 7.4% 25.8% .289 101 3.90 99 2.0
Félix Bautista 62.0 13.5 3.2 1.0 8.9% 37.7% .262 157 2.84 64 1.9
Tyler Wells 113.7 8.2 2.9 1.3 7.7% 22.0% .258 98 4.42 102 1.3
Jack Flaherty 127.3 9.3 3.9 1.3 10.0% 23.8% .290 91 4.54 110 1.2
Cade Povich 113.7 9.1 4.0 1.2 10.1% 23.3% .292 92 4.40 108 1.1
DL Corridor 76.3 11.3 4.4 1.2 11.2% 29.1% .297 102 4.05 98 1.1
John Means 85.0 6.7 2.3 1.4 6.2% 17.8% .269 97 4.64 103 1.1
Cole Irvin 131.7 6.6 2.0 1.4 5.2% 17.3% .292 89 4.69 112 1.0
Garrett Stallings 111.0 7.0 2.5 1.2 6.5% 18.1% .297 90 4.38 111 1.0
Bruce Zimmermann 106.7 7.6 2.7 1.4 6.9% 19.5% .306 90 4.50 111 0.9
Yennier Cano 68.7 8.4 2.9 1.0 7.6% 22.1% .290 112 4.00 90 0.8
Justin Armbruester 106.0 7.0 3.4 1.2 8.7% 17.8% .290 88 4.73 114 0.8
Alex Pham 88.0 7.8 3.8 1.2 9.5% 19.5% .289 91 4.60 110 0.8
Chayce McDermott 98.3 9.6 4.9 1.2 12.3% 24.0% .287 88 4.61 114 0.7
Trey McGough 76.3 6.1 2.8 1.2 7.3% 15.7% .293 89 4.58 112 0.7
Kyle Brnovich 64.7 8.1 2.9 1.3 7.6% 21.0% .288 92 4.48 109 0.7
Keegan Akin 61.7 9.5 2.6 1.2 6.9% 25.0% .305 100 3.76 100 0.7
Jean Pinto 85.0 7.5 4.0 1.3 10.1% 18.8% .288 86 4.90 116 0.6
Ryan Watson 82.3 7.1 3.4 1.2 8.6% 18.0% .296 87 4.69 115 0.5
Peter Van Loon 60.7 7.9 3.4 1.2 8.7% 20.1% .294 89 4.56 112 0.5
Seth Johnson 57.3 8.8 3.8 1.4 9.5% 22.1% .304 90 4.70 111 0.5
Antonio Velez 58.7 6.3 2.1 1.2 5.6% 16.3% .297 89 4.45 112 0.4
Ryan Lengthy 86.3 6.7 3.3 1.3 8.5% 17.0% .291 85 4.80 117 0.4
Mike Baumann 72.3 8.5 4.0 1.1 10.1% 21.5% .291 91 4.40 109 0.4
Tucker Davidson 80.3 8.4 3.7 1.2 9.5% 21.6% .295 87 4.51 115 0.4
Hint Vivid 91.3 8.9 4.9 1.3 12.0% 21.6% .285 83 5.04 120 0.4
Brandon Younger 53.7 7.2 3.4 1.3 8.5% 18.3% .296 87 4.88 115 0.4
Noah Denoyer 56.3 8.6 4.3 1.3 10.8% 21.5% .293 88 4.73 113 0.3
Danny Coulombe 46.0 9.6 3.3 1.4 8.6% 24.9% .301 100 4.28 100 0.2
Keagan Gillies 35.3 9.4 3.3 1.3 8.6% 24.3% .287 101 4.19 99 0.2
Austin Voth 60.0 8.6 3.5 1.4 8.7% 21.7% .304 85 4.56 117 0.2
Jacob Webb 60.7 9.9 3.6 1.2 9.3% 25.9% .293 95 4.10 105 0.2
Cionel Pérez 54.3 8.3 4.1 1.0 10.5% 21.1% .292 95 4.34 105 0.2
Nick Vespi 47.3 8.6 3.0 1.1 7.9% 22.3% .293 98 4.08 102 0.2
Jorge López 69.3 8.3 3.5 1.2 8.9% 21.1% .302 88 4.57 114 0.1
Connor Gillispie 89.3 6.3 3.8 1.4 9.6% 15.9% .288 80 5.36 125 0.1
Jake Lyons 56.0 7.1 4.0 1.3 10.0% 17.5% .298 82 4.99 122 0.1
Ryan Hennen 32.3 7.8 2.5 1.1 6.6% 20.6% .287 98 4.15 102 0.1
Conner Loeprich 53.0 7.0 3.2 1.2 8.1% 17.4% .296 86 4.61 116 0.1
Bryan Baker 55.7 8.7 4.0 1.1 10.3% 22.3% .283 94 4.40 107 0.0
Shintaro Fujinami 76.0 9.5 5.4 1.1 13.4% 23.3% .292 82 4.70 121 0.0
Darwinzon Hernández 36.3 11.4 5.9 1.2 14.7% 28.2% .282 83 4.99 121 -0.1
Dillon Tate 49.7 6.9 3.1 1.1 8.0% 17.8% .277 87 4.62 115 -0.1
Jensen Elliott 42.3 4.9 2.8 1.3 6.9% 12.2% .301 80 5.07 125 -0.1
Houston Roth 71.0 7.0 4.7 1.4 11.4% 16.9% .295 77 5.41 130 -0.2
Nathan Webb 39.3 8.7 5.0 1.4 12.1% 20.9% .294 81 5.14 123 -0.2
T.J. McFarland 50.3 6.8 3.2 1.1 8.2% 17.4% .297 88 4.55 114 -0.2
Carlos Tavera 65.0 7.9 6.5 1.4 15.2% 18.4% .289 74 5.76 135 -0.2
Nolan Hoffman 41.3 5.9 2.8 1.1 7.2% 15.0% .293 86 4.68 117 -0.2
Mychal Givens 37.7 8.6 4.8 1.4 11.9% 21.4% .288 82 5.25 122 -0.2
Ryan Conroy 50.7 7.5 4.6 1.2 11.3% 18.3% .303 80 5.23 126 -0.2
Dylan Heid 39.3 9.4 5.5 1.1 13.6% 23.2% .295 85 4.81 117 -0.2
Ignacio Feliz 54.3 8.4 5.6 1.3 13.6% 20.4% .289 75 5.56 133 -0.3
Joey Krehbiel 44.3 7.1 4.1 1.2 10.2% 17.9% .286 84 4.92 119 -0.3
Tyler Burch 39.3 6.4 3.7 1.4 9.1% 15.9% .293 81 5.19 123 -0.3
Ofreidy Gómez 47.0 8.2 5.9 1.3 13.8% 19.1% .291 74 5.79 136 -0.3
Kade Strowd 46.0 7.8 4.5 1.4 11.1% 19.2% .291 81 5.19 124 -0.4
Cole Uvila 39.3 7.8 5.0 1.4 12.1% 18.7% .302 78 5.26 128 -0.4
Morgan McSweeney 41.7 7.6 5.2 1.3 12.6% 18.4% .287 79 5.32 127 -0.4
Xavier Moore 29.3 9.8 7.7 1.2 17.6% 22.5% .289 70 5.61 142 -0.4
Kyle Dowdy 55.3 8.0 5.0 1.3 12.3% 19.4% .294 81 5.21 123 -0.4
Nick Richmond 25.3 6.4 5.0 1.4 11.8% 15.1% .291 72 6.02 139 -0.4
Wandisson Charles 39.3 9.4 6.4 1.4 15.1% 22.2% .288 78 5.44 128 -0.4
Dan Hammer 38.7 9.1 10.0 1.4 21.7% 19.7% .288 59 7.06 170 -0.9

Pitchers – Prime Close to-Age Comps

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles

Participant BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R eightieth WAR twentieth WAR eightieth ERA twentieth ERA
Kyle Bradish .234 .309 .361 .229 .293 .384 3.9 1.7 3.16 4.29
Dean Kremer .238 .310 .365 .251 .302 .408 3.4 1.5 3.40 4.41
Grayson Rodriguez .229 .292 .384 .236 .298 .398 3.1 1.0 3.49 4.69
Félix Bautista .173 .250 .306 .177 .254 .315 2.9 0.9 1.81 3.70
Tyler Wells .212 .268 .352 .236 .304 .435 2.1 0.5 3.70 4.88
Jack Flaherty .248 .336 .416 .229 .313 .396 2.2 0.1 3.88 5.29
Cade Povich .236 .324 .354 .241 .322 .418 2.0 0.2 3.86 5.12
DL Corridor .205 .290 .318 .230 .329 .405 1.8 0.2 3.37 4.93
John Means .235 .283 .388 .250 .302 .439 1.6 0.5 3.78 4.83
Cole Irvin .265 .313 .404 .267 .311 .468 1.8 0.3 4.06 5.16
Garrett Stallings .282 .339 .450 .246 .289 .409 1.8 0.2 3.96 5.19
Bruce Zimmermann .263 .302 .415 .269 .328 .455 1.6 0.1 4.01 5.29
Yennier Cano .250 .314 .395 .234 .297 .383 1.4 0.0 3.12 4.50
Justin Armbruester .268 .344 .443 .247 .315 .399 1.4 0.1 4.23 5.24
Alex Pham .253 .326 .418 .247 .318 .414 1.5 0.2 3.91 4.98
Chayce McDermott .253 .348 .434 .211 .317 .356 1.5 -0.3 4.08 5.44
Trey McGough .258 .311 .361 .271 .323 .469 1.1 0.1 4.09 5.15
Kyle Brnovich .235 .308 .387 .258 .322 .439 1.1 0.2 3.91 5.04
Keegan Akin .230 .275 .311 .253 .309 .446 1.2 0.2 3.41 4.87
Jean Pinto .229 .325 .333 .270 .340 .492 1.1 0.0 4.25 5.26
Ryan Watson .258 .343 .430 .263 .318 .423 1.0 -0.1 4.20 5.35
Peter Van Loon .259 .339 .438 .246 .314 .389 0.9 0.0 4.04 5.24
Seth Johnson .238 .319 .410 .273 .341 .463 0.9 0.0 3.95 5.23
Antonio Velez .268 .303 .408 .270 .318 .448 0.8 0.0 4.06 5.26
Ryan Lengthy .246 .326 .398 .276 .328 .465 1.0 -0.2 4.28 5.39
Mike Baumann .236 .331 .382 .248 .316 .408 1.0 -0.2 3.93 5.30
Tucker Davidson .231 .324 .363 .257 .325 .441 0.9 -0.3 4.12 5.55
Hint Vivid .232 .352 .378 .245 .336 .436 1.1 -0.3 4.35 5.51
Brandon Younger .255 .327 .388 .270 .336 .478 0.7 0.0 4.19 5.24
Noah Denoyer .245 .342 .408 .248 .324 .421 0.7 -0.3 4.10 5.40
Danny Coulombe .235 .297 .353 .252 .323 .468 0.9 -0.4 3.19 5.33
Keagan Gillies .250 .324 .391 .222 .288 .417 0.6 -0.1 3.38 4.97
Austin Voth .270 .339 .459 .246 .314 .413 0.8 -0.3 4.04 5.59
Jacob Webb .225 .316 .373 .238 .306 .408 0.8 -0.6 3.53 5.46
Cionel Pérez .232 .316 .391 .248 .331 .383 0.7 -0.4 3.63 5.12
Nick Vespi .250 .314 .375 .242 .303 .417 0.6 -0.3 3.40 5.07
Jorge López .266 .349 .461 .243 .321 .368 0.8 -0.5 3.98 5.47
Connor Gillispie .277 .356 .488 .254 .332 .413 0.7 -0.5 4.62 5.72
Jake Lyons .277 .357 .426 .254 .328 .443 0.5 -0.3 4.53 5.59
Ryan Hennen .237 .293 .368 .250 .309 .420 0.4 -0.2 3.45 5.06
Conner Loeprich .250 .324 .385 .272 .328 .456 0.5 -0.3 4.20 5.45
Bryan Baker .223 .315 .362 .244 .321 .412 0.6 -0.6 3.64 5.31
Shintaro Fujinami .239 .363 .387 .228 .329 .376 0.8 -0.9 4.14 5.95
Darwinzon Hernández .174 .333 .283 .233 .364 .433 0.4 -0.6 4.01 5.96
Dillon Tate .260 .348 .429 .235 .299 .383 0.3 -0.6 4.05 5.54
Jensen Elliott .289 .349 .500 .281 .333 .427 0.1 -0.4 4.59 5.74
Houston Roth .266 .367 .461 .265 .343 .445 0.4 -0.8 4.71 6.07
Nathan Webb .271 .378 .486 .229 .323 .386 0.1 -0.6 4.45 5.89
T.J. McFarland .231 .282 .385 .281 .358 .438 0.2 -0.7 3.92 5.74
Carlos Tavera .256 .382 .416 .248 .359 .442 0.3 -0.7 5.03 6.32
Nolan Hoffman .284 .361 .446 .253 .303 .407 0.1 -0.5 4.31 5.33
Mychal Givens .276 .391 .517 .227 .317 .375 0.2 -0.6 4.23 5.91
Ryan Conroy .258 .348 .464 .269 .369 .404 0.2 -0.6 4.51 5.89
Dylan Heid .243 .369 .400 .235 .330 .395 0.1 -0.6 4.17 5.61
Ignacio Feliz .274 .402 .432 .224 .336 .414 0.1 -0.8 4.93 6.23
Joey Krehbiel .250 .349 .389 .255 .325 .441 0.1 -0.7 4.20 5.70
Tyler Burch .274 .354 .493 .262 .330 .417 -0.1 -0.6 4.57 5.78
Ofreidy Gómez .259 .400 .481 .243 .358 .388 0.1 -0.8 4.93 6.57
Kade Strowd .261 .363 .477 .247 .330 .398 0.0 -0.8 4.55 5.84
Cole Uvila .254 .361 .423 .271 .351 .471 0.0 -0.8 4.56 6.25
Morgan McSweeney .270 .379 .459 .236 .330 .404 -0.1 -0.8 4.63 6.01
Xavier Moore .250 .418 .462 .217 .342 .350 -0.1 -0.8 5.06 6.96
Kyle Dowdy .247 .360 .376 .258 .345 .460 0.0 -1.0 4.42 5.99
Nick Richmond .280 .390 .480 .255 .361 .451 -0.3 -0.7 5.19 6.65
Wandisson Charles .247 .382 .452 .231 .344 .385 -0.1 -0.9 4.55 6.25
Dan Hammer .235 .435 .441 .247 .421 .420 -0.6 -1.6 6.10 8.59

Gamers are listed with their most up-to-date groups wherever potential. This contains gamers who’re unsigned or have retired, gamers who will miss 2024 on account of harm, and gamers who have been launched in 2023. So sure, for those who see Joe Schmoe, who stop baseball again in August to type a Belgian Loss of life Metallic Skiffle Band that solely performs songs by Franz Schubert, he’s nonetheless listed right here deliberately. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values may differ barely from people who seem within the full launch of ZiPS. Lastly, I’ll advise anybody towards — and may karate chop anybody responsible of — merely including up WAR totals on a depth chart to provide projected staff WAR.

As all the time, incorrect projections are both brought on by flaws within the bodily actuality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our good friend and former editor. You’ll be able to, nevertheless, nonetheless get mad at me on Twitter.



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